As the 2025 Academy Awards approach, the excitement around Oscar nomination predictions is building. With the official nominations set to be announced on January 17, 2025, here are seven predictions based on current trends, industry buzz, and historical data that Indie Spark thinks could be accurate!
1. Best Picture: Anora
“Anora” has been a standout since winning the Palme d’Or at Cannes 2024. Directed by Sean Baker, this emotional drama explores the complexities of family and identity. The film stars Mikey Madison and Yura Borisov in leading roles. “Anora” has also been a critical favorite, winning the Best Picture award at the Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards and securing nominations from the Golden Globes, National Board of Review, Gotham Awards, AFI, and Film Independent Spirit Awards. The film’s heartfelt storytelling and superb direction make it a strong contender for Best Picture. Given its success and critical acclaim, “Anora” consistently features in Oscar nomination predictions around the globe.
2. Best Director: Jacques Audiard for Emilia Pérez
Jacques Audiard’s direction of “Emilia Pérez” has garnered significant attention. The film, which tells the story of a transgender woman navigating life and love, has received 10 nominations from the Golden Globes, including Best Director. Audiard’s previous successes with films like “A Prophet” and “Dheepan” add to his credibility. “Emilia Pérez” has also been longlisted for the BAFTA Film Awards, further solidifying Audiard’s chances of securing a nomination for Best Director. This recognition makes Audiard a frequent name in Oscar nomination predictions.
3. Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet for A Complete Unknown
Timothée Chalamet continues to impress with his performance in “A Complete Unknown,” where he portrays the enigmatic musician Bob Dylan. Chalamet’s previous Oscar nominations and wins at various film festivals make him a strong candidate for another nod. “A Complete Unknown” has also been longlisted for the BAFTA Film Awards, adding to its accolades. Chalamet’s dedication to his craft and ability to capture Dylan’s essence make his performance one to watch this awards season, placing him prominently in Oscar nomination predictions.
4. Best Actress: Angelina Jolie for Maria
Angelina Jolie’s transformation into opera singer Maria Callas in “Maria” has been widely praised. The biographical film showcases Jolie’s vocal training and dramatic depth as she brings the legendary diva to life. “Maria” has been longlisted for the BAFTA Film Awards, indicating strong support from the industry. Jolie’s performance has garnered buzz for its authenticity and emotional intensity, making her a top contender for the Best Actress category and a frequent mention in Oscar nomination predictions.
5. Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin for A Real Pain
Kieran Culkin’s performance in “A Real Pain” has been well-received, with critics praising his nuanced portrayal of a man dealing with grief and loss. Culkin’s previous success with the hit TV series “Succession” and his recent win at the Golden Globes for Best Supporting Actor add to his chances of being nominated. “A Real Pain” has also been longlisted for the BAFTA Film Awards, further bolstering Culkin’s position as a strong contender in this category. His consistent performance makes him a regular feature in Oscar nomination predictions.
6. Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldaña for Emilia Pérez
Zoe Saldaña’s role in “Emilia Pérez” has been highlighted as a standout. Saldaña plays the supportive friend who helps the protagonist navigate their journey. Her previous nominations for roles in “Avatar” and “Guardians of the Galaxy” showcase her versatility as an actress. “Emilia Pérez” has received significant acclaim, including a longlisting for the BAFTA Film Awards, making Saldaña a likely candidate for Best Supporting Actress. Her outstanding performance keeps her in the spotlight for Oscar nomination predictions.
7. Best Original Screenplay: Sean Baker for Anora
Sean Baker’s work on “Anora” has been lauded for its authenticity and emotional depth. The screenplay, which explores themes of family, belonging, and identity, has resonated with audiences and critics alike. “Anora” has been successful at various awards shows, including the Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards, where it was a runner-up for Best Screenplay. Baker’s ability to craft compelling narratives with real-world relevance makes him a strong contender for Best Original Screenplay. His consistent work ensures he is a key name in Oscar nomination predictions.
These Oscar nomination predictions are based on current awards season trends, historical data, and the buzz surrounding these films and performances. As the official nominations draw closer, we’ll continue to update our predictions based on new information and developments. Stay tuned for the latest updates on the 2025 Academy Awards and our ongoing coverage of Oscar nomination predictions.
